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March construction activity posts unexpected gain
 

DAILY THOUGHTS....concerning Mariposa Real Estate,

Presented by Daily & Co.

 
Now that the first three months of 2010 are history, we continue fielding questions on the subject of real estate values...questions like..."What is selling?  Homes?  Land? Modular homes?" etc.  We all hear the bad tidings on TV Newcasts, that values are headed down.  this raises the obvious question..."Is the same true for Mariposa and the mountain area?' Today we'll address the Mariposa area in particular.
 
The quick answer is, "No, the market in Mariposa is not as bad as in Merced, for instance."  It's also true that Mariposa prices did not escalate during the boom years by the same percentage as was the case in most Valley communities, including Merced.  Mariposa prices ran up in years 2003 - 2006 by as much as 100%, while prices in Merced increased by 200% and more.  Following are some particulars.
 
During the first quarter of this year, 30 properties closed escrow through the Multiple Listing Service in Mariposa County.  The breakdown is as follows: 22 single family homes, with sales prices ranging from $125,000 - $300,000; two manufactured homes closed (one in our local mobile park at $50,000, and the other on 6 acres priced at $180,000); and 6 residential vacant land parcels, with prices ranging from $29,000 - $110,000.
 
Folks are most interested in values of homes, particularly THEIR home. With this in mind we offer the following stats: Of the 11 most recently-sold homes in Mariposa, the average size of these homes is 1650 square feet; and the average sales price (including the land on which each home is located) is $131.00 per square foot of floor space.
 
Multiply the square footage of your home by this $131.00 figure & you should be very close to current market value.  Exceptions to this formula would be if you have water frontage on your property or some other extenuating factor.  Feel free to contact us for a more specific analysis.
 
The next questions we hear is, "Are prices finally on the increase?  And if not when will they begin rising?"  The response we're tempted to give is, "If we knew the answer to your question we could have a very  nice job in Washington D.C!"  It's important to remember that the price of housing is directly influenced by the supply of homes available for purchase.
 
In Mariposa today, given our current level of sales activity, there are sufficient homes now on the market to satisfy demand for a least a year.  And, through the loan foreclosure process, an increasing number of homes are coming on the market.  As many as 5 - 10 foreclosed homes weekly are advertised in our local newspaper.  Remember too that we are averaging approximately 10 homes sales a month.  It's critical that you know that these foreclosed homes are being offered at much less than what is owed to the lenders by the owners who are losing their homes.  A current example is the following: A 2000 ft. home on acreage.  Lenders are owed more than $340,000.  Lenders foreclosed, and home is now in escrow for just a few dollars over $200,000.  Foreclosures depress values on all homes!  We believe this process of foreclosures will continue at least another 2 - 3 years; and that values for your homes and ours cannot begin increasing until lenders have worked their way through all the foreclosures that are still out there.
 
The final question..."Should we wait to sell our put our home on the market now?"  Answer...Unless you can wait the 2 -3 years (above) get on the market now as prices today are still trending downwardly for the reasons cited above.  Ask us to perform a Market Analysis on your specific property then make an informed decision.

By Gene Mickel

 



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