September 12, 2026 – On Friday, the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Preliminary Results for September was released.
Note: September 2024 Consumer Sentiment under President Biden was 70.1
The following is from Surveys of Consumers Director Joanne Hsu:Consumer sentiment receded less than 4 index points for the second consecutive month of decreases. Democrats and Republicans alike posted sizable declines, while independents were little changed from August. Year-ahead expectations for both personal finances and business conditions plunged. With a resurgence in fuel prices and trade tensions, consumers anticipate greater pressures on their pocketbooks to come. Five-year expected business conditions remained stable at readings well below their historical average, suggesting that consumers believe that emerging risks this month may not have further worsened the long-run outlook. Overall, sentiment is now 16% below February, prior to the start of the Iran conflict, and 13% lower than a year ago.
Year-ahead inflation expectations jumped from 4.0% last month to 4.6% this month, the highest reading since June. The current reading substantially exceeds the 3.4% seen in February before the Iran conflict began, along with all 2024 readings. Long-run inflation expectations ticked up to 3.4%, ending three consecutive months at 3.3%. These expectations remain higher than their 2024 range of 2.8% to 3.2%.
Source: University of Michigan
University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Preliminary Results for September 2026 Declines 7.5% Month-Over-Month, Year-ahead Inflation Expectations Rise to 4.6%. Sentiment Under Trump is Down 13.2% Year-Over-Year and 32% Lower Than Biden in September 2024.
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