November 29, 2018 - The National Weather Service Hanford office reports a few severe thunderstorms in Mariposa County, Madera County and the Central Valley are possible today.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service San Joaquin Valley - Hanford CA 423 AM PST Thu Nov 29 2018 .SYNOPSIS... Gusty southeasterly winds will impact the northwestern portion of the San Joaquin Valley this morning. Heavy snow is expected in the higher elevations of the Sierra Nevada today into tonight, while moderate to heavy rain at times will fall elsewhere. Mud/rockslides or debris flow is likely in portions of the Sierra Nevada Foothills today and tonight. Isolated thunderstorms are possible today and this evening. && .DISCUSSION... A myriad of issues are on the table this morning as an Eastern Pacific storm system approaches Central California. Inflow into this low pressure system is evident in the northwestern portion of the San Joaquin Valley, where about a half dozen reporting stations in Mariposa and Merced Counties are observing southeasterly wind gusts in excess of 35 miles per hour. A Wind Advisory is in effect for this area until noon. As the aforementioned storm system pushes eastward through the northern half of California, gusty west to northwest winds will develop in the Indian Wells Valley and Kern County mountains and desert. Wind Advisories are in effect for those areas until 9 pm PST. The Wind Advisory for the Kern County mountains and desert will likely need to be extended beyond that time. Hydrologic concerns exist as well. Heavy rainfall moving over the Ferguson burn scar this morning has resulted in the issuance of a Flash Flood Warning. Around an additional foot of snow is expected in the higher elevations of the Sierra Nevada today into tonight. A Winter Storm Warning remains in effect for this area. A Flash Flood Watch remains in effect for the Sierra Nevada Foothills. Mid-level lapse rates should steepen and cooling should take place aloft today. Atmospheric instability may be sufficient for isolated thunderstorms to develop in the San Joaquin Valley and in the Sierra Nevada Foothills today and this evening. An upper-level area of low pressure will approach the Pacific Northwest Friday, before moving onshore Friday night. This area of low pressure aloft will open into a trough of low pressure and dig southeastward into northwestern Nevada Saturday. A more due eastward trajectory is expected through the Great Basin Saturday night. A ridge of high pressure between longitude 140 West and 130 West will approach California late in the upcoming weekend into early next week. Another Eastern Pacific storm system may begin to impact California by the middle of next week.
Source: NWS