Chaparral (6 feet), short grass (1 foot) Hardwood Litter

Another very active day along the ridgetop, where there is a few active spots. These areas have

increased activity just like yesterday, between 1200-1400 significant increase in fire behavior and spotting across line to the north over W. Camino Cielo Road. Alignment of unburned pockets of fuel inside the line picking up with diurnal upslope winds, south aspect exposure, surface heating from direct solar radiation, very low humidities, and low fuel moistures (live & dead) have contributed to increased activity and spotting. Multiple spots today, one near DP-40 in Div-T, and couple new ones in Div-A near the westside of Div-A are along the ridgetop. These are in addition to the couple spots in approximately the same area yesterday, Warmer temperatures, low humidity, and poor nighttime humidity recovery contributed to todays' activity marked increase in activity.

The overall strategy is to engage firefighters to minimize the fire size, eliminate the fire threat to CA Highway 101 (to open both north and south bound lanes), protect residence and infrastructure, historic and cultural resource threats in the area. The main constraint has been heavy winds that have limited safe access to suppress the fire and limited the use of aircraft to engage and support fire suppression. Firefighters have been able to engage along the West Camino Cielo on the north side of the fire.

12 hours: Some growth potential exists due to forecasted southerly winds over the fire area, in the evening to push the fire north of West Camino Cielo Road. This is an area receptive to spotting threat to control line along the north boundary of the Alisal fire.

24 hours: Fire growth potential exists due to forecasted warmer conditions with upslope runs, south aspect has the greatest potential for unburned islands or pockets of fuel flaring up and torching or making a small run sending spots across northern control features. Active section of line due to lack of containment and difficult terrain is to the West towards Gaviota and 101.

48 hours: Fire growth potential exists due to forecasted gusty northwest to north winds with expected gusts 25-35 MPH likely in the windier spots. Active section of line due to lack of containment and difficult terrain is to the West towards Gaviota and 101. Westward spread will continue midslope just upslope of Gaviota (dry fuels, fuel continuity and downslope winds).

With the complexity of the incident and the threat to the CA Highway 101 corridor decreasing, resources may be released. Some areas of the fire are transitioning from suppression to repair. Resources that can be transitioned from suppression to repair will be utilized in those areas. Excess equipment will be reassigned or released.

Very warm and dry conditions prevailed across the incident today. Afternoon temperatures climbed into the upper 70s and 80s while relative humidity dropped to the 7-13% range. Gusty southerly and upvalley winds developed by late morning with gusts around 20 MPH reported in the afternoon hours. For tonight, weak southerly winds will continue at the ridges with weak downslope and downvalley winds at lower elevations. Relative humidity recovery will be poor to moderate with best recovery at lower elevations near the coast. On Sunday, onshore flow will strengthen across the area, bringing cooler temperatures (10-15 degrees cooler than Saturday) and higher relative humidity. Southerly and upvalley winds will prevail through the day on Sunday with gusts around 20 MPH. Late Sunday night and Monday morning, a dry cold front will sweep across the area. This front will bring even cooler temperatures on Monday as well as higher relative humidity. However, it will also bring strong northwest to north winds to the fire with gusts 25-35 MPH likely throughout the day and evening on Monday.