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WeatherStory29.1

July 29, 2021 - The National Weather Service Hanford Office reports scattered thunderstorms will develop over the Sierra Nevada by early Thursday afternoon and linger into the evening hours.

In addition to dangerous cloud to ground lightning, a few thunderstorms will bring small hail, wind gusts to about 40 mph and heavy rain with the potential for flash flooding.

Hikers should be prepared to seek a safe place when skies turn ominous and thunder is heard.
  Area Forecast Discussion 
  National Weather Service Hanford CA 
  1239 PM PDT Thu Jul 29 2021 
   
   
  .SYNOPSIS... 
  Slightly warmer than average high temperatures look likely into 
  the foreseeable future over the forecast area. Monsoonal moisture 
  will provide the Sierra Nevada with a chance of afternoon and 
  evening thunderstorms each day until Sunday. 
   
  && 
   
  .DISCUSSION... 
  Weak upper level troughing over the eastern Pacific centered  
  several hundred miles west of the Point of Conception coupled with 
  broad ridging centered over the Plains states is allowing a steady 
  stream of mid to high level tropical moisture to stream north to  
  northwestward into the forecast area. This moisture stream was 
  responsible for yesterdays thunderstorms over the Sierra and for 
  the current showers with embedded thunderstorms into this  
  afternoon. This pattern has also kept the synoptic temperatures 
  pretty steady over the last several days and will do so through at 
  least Saturday.   
   
  A stronger surge of moisture will advect into the region tomorrow 
  and this will not only increase the chances of thunderstorms but  
  also increase the potential rainfall amounts possible with any of  
  the given thunderstorms that do develop. The highest likelihood  
  of thunderstorms will be for the higher elevations of the Sierra  
  Nevada but a few thunderstorms over the Kern County Mountains and  
  Deserts would not be out of the question each afternoon through  
  Sunday. However, the chances for the larger precipitation amounts  
  with thunderstorms will be greatest for the higher elevations.  
  With this reasoning in mind a Flash Flood Watch for above 5000  
  feet has been issued for the Sierra Nevada from Yosemite southward 
  to parts of the Kern County Mountains around Tehachapi. This  
  watch will begin at Noon Friday through 8 PM Saturday night.  
  Hikers and Campers venturing out to these areas should stay aware  
  of any changes in the weather and remember to never set up a  
  campsite in a low lying area as heavy rainfall in higher  
  elevations can quickly flood those areas with little notice from a 
  distance. Besides the heavy rainfall threat, thunderstorms will  
  also bring strong gusty winds, small hail, and of course dangerous 
  lightning.  
   
  By early Sunday, troughing to the west will push eastward and this 
  will redirect the monsoonal moisture flow further eastward and 
  allow ridging to begin building into southern California. This 
  will bring slightly warmer temperatures and allow drier weather  
  to return to the region with a more southwesterly flow aloft at 
  least through Thursday. 
   
  && 
   
   
  .AVIATION... 
  Mountain obscurations in showers and scattered thunderstorms  
  possible over the Sierra through 03Z Fri and again after 19z  
  Friday. Otherwise, VFR conditions will prevail through the next 24 
  hours. 
   
  && 
   
  .AIR QUALITY ISSUES... 
  On Thursday July 29 2021... Unhealthy for sensitive groups in 
  Fresno... Kern... Madera... Merced and Tulare Counties and Sequoia 
  National Park and Forest. 
  Further information is available at Valleyair.org 

Source: NWS