Timber (Litter and Understory)

Tall Grass (2.5 feet)

Brush (2 feet)

Narrative:

Expect mainly active backing and flanking fire. As the fire progresses east, road systems will help check fire spread. Rollout will challenge containment lines. There are multiple green islands near the line if they begin to actively burn expect spot fires over established lines.

The fire will continue to actively back to the south. Watch for slope reversals as the fire reaches drainage bottoms. As the wind transitions at night, the potential for head fire runs will increase. Areas around Baldy Gap did not burn clean, expect islands near the line to burn out and the potential for reburn either of which will challenge existing lines.

Main fire progression will be towards Scott Bar and down the Hwy 96 corridor. Rollout will continue to be problematic and challenge any established lines. If skies clear and a plume develops, spotting distances will increase, and the river and highway will be compromised. Little to no rain on the branch clouds and smoke will continue to moderate fire behavior.

Moderate

Flanking

Backing

Creeping

Narrative:

Small pockets of intense heat are still present along the northern and western sections of the fire. Significant interior cooling was evident with the fire interior composed mainly of scattered heat and isolated heat.

12 Hours: Perimeter control focus on direct tactics as well as continuing indirect opportunities and contingency lines. Structure defense of values at risk operations continue along the Highway 96 corridor near Walker Bridge, Horse Creek and Scott Bar. Fire has progressed to Collins Badly lookout in the south and is backing towards Scott Bar, and Humbug drainage, Deadwood Baldy Peak on the east flank.

24 Hours: Burning out of interior islands, heavy fuels, group and single tree torching continue to threat control lines.

48 Hours: Burning out of interior islands, heavy fuels, group and single tree torching continue to threat control lines.

CIIMT 2 in Unified Command with CALFIRE Siskiyou Unit.

Red flag warning remains in effect from 2 pm this afternoon to 11 pm pdt this evening for strong gusty wind with low rh for portions of fire weather zones 281 and 280.

Fire weather watch remains in effect from Tuesday afternoon

Through Tuesday evening for strong gusty wind with low rh for portions of fire weather zones 281 and eastern 280.

Impacts: Strong, gusty wind with low relative humidity and critically dry vegetation will greatly increase the spread potential of any new and existing fires.

Affected area: Eastern Fire Weather, including the Scott Valley and sections of the McKinney Fire over higher terrain, Fort Jones, Etha, and Greenview. This does not include the Yeti Fire. Fire Weather, including the Shasta Valley and sections of the McKinney Fire over higher terrain. This includes Yreka, Hilt, Weed, Grenada and Montague.

Wind: South 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 35 mph Monday afternoon and evening. South winds increasing to 20 to 25 mph with gusts to 45 mph possible Tuesday afternoon and evening.

Humidity: As low as 9 percent.

Additional Details: The strongest winds will occur within the Shasta Valley around Weed and over higher terrain. Strong, gusty winds, perhaps strongest of the stretch will redevelop Tuesday afternoon and evening.