Timber (Litter and Understory)

Chaparral (6 feet)

Short Grass (1 foot)

Fire behavior observed

Overnight: Minimal fire behavior

Minimal Creeping Smoldering

Narrative:

NORTH ZONE:

No forward progression. Mainly smoldering and creeping, with problematic rollout. Main chances for forward progression will be from rollout. Expect mainly smoldering and creeping fire behavior. However, pockets of heavier fuel will continue to burn along with surface fuels under tight canopies. Minimal chances of spot fires from torching trees.

SOUTH ZONE:

Minimal fire activity today across the South Zone of fire area. Isolated pockets of heat and smoke. Fuel moistures are lower than yesterday after moderate to poor nighttime humidity recovery, coupled with today's clear skies, warmer temperatures, and lower humidity there has been an increase in fire activity in existing heats within the fire perimeter. Majority of type of fire activity is smoldering, creeping, and stuff heat becoming more active in heavy fuels. Hold-over heat from precipitation a few days ago is waking up after drying out, this has been in stump holes, Candles, some cat-faces in standing trees and a few logs holding heat. More duff creep and smolder will begin as it dries out and with clear skies.

NORTH ZONE:

Utilize direct tactics with ground resources and heavy equipment. Holding and securing direct line.

Structure protection and perimeter control measures will be taken around structures within threatened communities.

Continued protection and mitigation measures for all sequoia groves within the fire area. When attributes of fire behavior are favorable to the landscape, allow fire to spread to aid in fuels reduction in around the groves.

Repopulation is in progress, and continues.

SOUTH ZONE:

Continue to patrol, monitor and mop up DIV X, A and C. Scout for opportunities to create contingency lines in the Case Mountain area, including prep of infrastructure and mastication in Giant Sequoia Groves.

Implement structure and infrastructure protection in the Three Rivers area, coordinate and communicate with CalFire on operations that take place in Silver City and Mineral King.

Coordinate with READS to implement protection measures in the Atwell Grove, East Fork Grove, Case Mountain Grove as priorities are delivered to Operations.

12 hours: Minimal fire activity. Moderate to good nighttime humidity recovery coupled with decreased number of hotspots and smokes due to available fuels be consumed, suppression action or humidity recovery great enough to put the heat out. Some heat has remained and primarily lies dormant/passive in stump holes, logs, snags, edges of interior pockets of unburned fuels and uncontained fireline and riparian areas. After gradually drying out again, fine dead fuels will become available again, heavies and other large diameter fuels will not be affected by the little precipitation and moisture, retaining seasonally low fuel moistures until a multi-day wetting event occurs.

24 hours: Minimal to moderate fire activity as fuels continue to dry out from the recent precipitation. Grass, broad-and needle-leaf litter fuel beds will support surface fire on the south aspects. Potential for some torching trees will increase the chances of short-range spotting.

48 hours: Precipitation over the area with Saturday's frontal passage will have disappeared and fine dead fuel moistures are readily available for ignition and fire spread. Minimal to moderate fire activity as fuels dry out and some increase where fuels are available.

72 hours: Minimal to moderate fire activity. Grass, broad- and needle-leaf litter fuel beds will support surface fire but low intensity in areas that underburned. Potential for some torching trees will increase the chances of short-range spotting.

Anticipated after 72 hours: Minimal to moderate fire activity expected. Any areas where pockets of unburned fuels, uncontained Fireline and fire activity exists expect an increase in activity as fuel moistures lower and dry out.

Weak high pressure over the fire area will help skies clear tonight and Sunday. Temperatures will trend warmer and relative humidity lower on Sunday.

A strong low pressure system will move into the Great Basin on Monday bringing a brief chance of light rain or high elevation snow Monday afternoon and some gustier winds to the crest areas east of the fire, however the main affect will be much colder temperatures which will persist into Tuesday.